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A Counting Side Bets in Baccarat

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The Easy 6 Side Bet Overview

The Easy 6 is another vulnerable optional bet counters can exploit to gain an edge over the house. The wager is successful whenever the Player or Banker wins the round with a score of six or tie with six. The bet pays at house odds of 6 to 1 and comes with a lower house edge compared to the previous two wagers as you shall see briefly.

2. House Edge and Hit Frequency

The Easy 6 yields a casino advantage of 5.04%, meaning that the average Joe will lose approximately five cents for every dollar wagered. Apart from the lower house edge, the wager also has a higher hit frequency since it wins approximately 13.56% of the time.

3. Card Counting System for the Easy 6 Side Bet

It makes sense that the excess of high-value cards like 9s, 8s, and 7s is detrimental to players who make this bet since they can easily cause the hand to go over the coveted total of 6. It is equally logical that the 6s are the most valuable card denomination from the perspective of side bettors.

The conclusion is we must track the 6s, 7s, 9s, and 8s when looking to profit from the Easy 6 through counting. The remaining denominations have a negligible effect of removal and are not worth tracking. One easy counting system suggests side bettors should assign the following tag values to the key cards in an eight-deck game:

  • The 6s of each suit are counted as -3.
  • The 9s, 8s, and 7s have tags of +1.

The triggering count in this case is +2, which is to say you must refrain from playing the Easy 6 on counts of +1 or lower. Using the system above gives players an average advantage of 5.73%, earning them 0.66 betting units per hour. To give you some context, this means you will generate approximately $66 per hour provided that you are betting $100 on the Easy 6 at positive true counts of at least +2.

These hourly profits apply to games where the dealer cuts off only 14 cards from the end of the shoe. If one full deck is cut off, your hourly expected value with this bet drops down to 0.22 units or $22.

Conclusion

Before you head over to your favorite online or land based casino to test these strategies, we would like to remind you that they yield satisfactory results only when certain playing conditions have been met. You need sufficient enough penetration to earn healthy profits from counting side bets in baccarat.

The shallower the cut-card placement is, the less expected value you can anticipate in the long term. Do not bother attempting to count side bets at online live baccarat tables that use continuous shuffling machines as these give you no penetration whatsoever.

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